Oscar predictions: ‘The Hurt Locker’ won’t be hurtingUPDATED: Winners are indicated with ♦s. I made informed guesses in 20 of the 24 categories; of those, I guessed 12 correctly. (Well, 13, really, except that in the animated short category in the original version of this page, I had both “The Lady and the Reaper (La Dama y la Muerte)” and “Logorama” checked off. I did think “Logorama” would win, but this ballot did not reflect that prediction alone. So I’m counting that in the 20 but not in the 12.) Which is a little better than chance. Here’s an at-a-glance look at my picks for Sunday night’s Academy Awards -- projected winners are Xed. Keep in mind: this isn’t a list of whom I think should win Oscars but whom I think will win. (But see my piece at Film.com “The Biggest Upset at the Academy Awards Will Be ...,” the prognostications of which are not represented here.) I haven’t made predictions in categories for which I have not seen enough of the nominated films to make a reasonable guess. As always, take these predictions with a grain of salt. No one really understands how the Academy thinks. (See the Academy’s site at Oscars.org and ABC’s site at Oscars.com for your further Oscar needs.) Performance by an actor in a leading role Performance by an actor in a supporting role Performance by an actress in a leading role Performance by an actress in a supporting role Best animated feature film of the year Achievement in art direction Achievement in cinematography Achievement in costume design Achievement in directing Best documentary feature Best documentary short subject Achievement in film editing Best foreign language film of the year Achievement in makeup Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original score) Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original song) Best motion picture of the year Best animated short film Best live action short film Achievement in sound editing Achievement in sound mixing Achievement in visual effects Adapted screenplay Original screenplay Disqus commentsblog comments powered by Disqus |
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Mon Mar 08 10, 1:57AM categories: awards buzz permalink 11 pre-Disqus comments Disqus comments tip jarshare
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Ajami
Alan Rankin Aldo Signoretti Alessandro Camon Alexandre Desplat Anastasia Masaro Andrew R Jones Andy Nelson Anna Behlmer Anna Kendrick Armando Iannucci Avatar Barney Burman Barry Ackroyd Blind Side Bob Murawski Bob Peterson Bright Star Bruno Delbonnel Buck Sanders Burma VJ Burt Dalton Carey Mulligan Caroline Smith Catherine Leterrier China's Unnatural Disaster The Tears of Sichuan Province Chris Innis Christian Berger Christoph Waltz Christopher Boyes Christopher Plummer Coco Before Chanel Colin Firth Colleen Atwood Coraline Cove Crazy Heart Dan Kaufman Dave Warren District 9 Door Education El Secreto de Sus Ojos Ethan Coen Fantastic Mr Fox Food Inc Frank Thomas French Roast Gabourey Sidibe Gary Summers Geoffrey Fletcher Geoffrey Patterson George Clooney Gordon Sim Granny O’Grimm’s Sleeping Beauty Greg P Russell Gwendolyn Yates Whittle Hans Zimmer Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince Helen Mirren Henry Selick Hurt Locker Il Divo Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus In the Loop Inglourious Basterds Instead of Abracadabra Invictus James Cameron James Horner Janet Patterson Jason Reitman Jeff Bridges Jenny Shircore Jeremy Renner Jesse Armstrong Joe Klotz Joe Letteri Joel Coen Joel Harlow John Musker John Myhre John Refoua Jon Henry Gordon Julian Clarke Julie and Julia Kathryn Bigelow Katie Spencer Kavi Kim Sinclair Lady and the Reaper (La Dama y la Muerte) Last Campaign of Governor Booth Gardner Last Station Last Truck Closing of a GM Plant Lee Daniels Logorama Loin de Paname Lovely Bones Maggie Gray Maggie Gyllenhaal Marco Beltrami Mark Boal Mark Stoeckinger Mark Ulano Matt Aitken Matter of Loaf and Death Mauro Fiore Maury Yeston Meryl Streep Messenger Michael Giacchino Michael Minkler Michael Silvers Milk of Sorrow Mindy Hall Miracle Fish Mo'Nique Monique Prudhomme Morgan Freeman Most Dangerous Man in America Daniel Ellsberg and the Pentagon Papers Music by Prudence Neill Blomkamp New Tenants Nick Hornby Nine Oren Moverman Oscars Paris 36 Patrice Vermette Paul Kavanagh Paul NJ Ottosson Penelope Cruz Pete Docter Peter J Devlin Peter Muyzers Precious Precious Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire Princess and the Frog Prohete (Un Prophete) Quentin Tarantino Rabbit a la Berlin Randy Newman Ray Beckett Reinhardt Wagner Richard Baneham Rick Carter Robert Habros Robert Richardson Robert Stromberg Roger Guyett Ron Clements Russell Earl Ryan Bingham Sally Menke Sandra Bullock Sandy Powell Sarah Greenwood Secret of Kells Serious Man Sheldon Turner Sherlock Holmes Simon Blackwell Single Man Stanley Tucci Star Trek Stephen Rivkin Stephen Rosenbaum T Bone Burnett Terri Tatchell Tom McCarthy Tom Myers Tomm Moore Tony Johnson Tony Lamberti Tony Roche Transformers Revenge of the Fallen Up Up in the Air Vera Farmiga Vittorio Sodano Wes Anderson Which Way Home White Ribbon Woody Harrelson Wylie Stateman Young Victoria related· Colin Firth and Natalie Portman are Oscar shoo-ins; everything else up for grabs: Oscar predictions · In the Loop (review) · ‘Hurt Locker’ wins 2009 Best Picture from Online Film Critics Society · question of the day: What do you think of the Golden Globe winners? · top 10 movies of 2009: the whys and wherefores · Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire (review) · December 11: DVD alternatives to this weekend’s multiplex offerings · about “Logorama” · The Hurt Locker (review) · Up in the Air (review) bloggyprevious post: MaryAnn proposes we rename the Oscars... next post: ABC is back on Cablevision... |









pre-Disqus comments
posted by RyanT (Thu Mar 04 10, 10:22AM)
Wow, if District 9 manages to win at least one award, I don't care about what happens to the rest of the night. But you really think it has a shot at Editing especially with Avatar and Hurt Locker in the mix? Again, I would LOVE for this to happen, but it just doesn't seem likely.
posted by rahul (Thu Mar 04 10, 10:28AM)
Don't neglect to write a post about how many you got right (and how many wrong)
posted by Bluejay (Thu Mar 04 10, 11:46AM)
From your Film.com article:
I hope so!:-)
posted by Lisa (Thu Mar 04 10, 12:28PM)
me too1
posted by Lisa (Thu Mar 04 10, 12:30PM)
Hurt Locker might win best editing
posted by misterb (Thu Mar 04 10, 6:58PM)
Speaking of rules of Academy voting, here's an article from the NY Times about how the voting system will be changed:
http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/04/an-economists-view-of-the-new-oscar-voting/
Perhaps the new rules will change the conventional wisdom of predictions.
posted by Hank Graham (Fri Mar 05 10, 12:20AM)
Maryann:
The live short, "Instead of Abracadra," is about a total geek. I think you'll like it.
posted by Mathias (Fri Mar 05 10, 10:10AM)
My Predictions:
Best Director - Kathryn Bigelow
Best Picture - The Hurt Locker
Best Actor - Jeff Bridges
Best Actress - Carey Mulligan
Best Supporting Actor - Christoph Waltz
Best Supporting Actress - Mo'Nique
Best Animated Feature - Up
I see no reason why Carey Mulligan shouldn't beat Sandra Bullock.
posted by MaryAnn (Mon Mar 08 10, 2:01AM)
I'd love to see it. I don't know how or where, however. How did you see it?
posted by Kenny (Mon Mar 08 10, 3:40AM)
I was surprised Hurt Locker took sound mixing and editing over Avatar (or Up or Star Trek).
posted by fm (Mon Mar 08 10, 5:16PM)
Sad that Coraline didn't win Selik needed this more than Pixar