question of the day: What will the 10 Best Picture nominees be?

Last week, the members of the Online Film Critics Society were polled about which movies we thought will be the Oscar nominees for Best Picture — remember, there will be 10 this year — and these are the films we collectively predicted (in alphabetical order; links go to my reviews):
Avatar
The Blind Side
An Education
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Invictus
Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire
A Serious Man
Up
Up in the Air

Your turn: Do you agree with the OFCS critics? Did we miss a film that’s certain to be nominated? Did we predict a nomination that’s ridiculous? What will the 10 Best Picture nominees be?

(If you have a suggestion for a QOTD, feel free to email me. Responses to this QOTD sent by email will be ignored; please post your responses here.)

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JT
JT
Fri, Jan 15, 2010 10:53am

I think ‘District 9’ might get in instead of ‘The Blind Side’ or ‘A Serious Man’.

Josh C.
Josh C.
Fri, Jan 15, 2010 11:07am

Considering the Academy’s history of occasionally nominating at least one film that turned out mediocre-to-bad despite strong expectations, I expect Nine to be one of the ten. I’m also more and more uncertain that Up and Avatar will get a Best Picture nod, perhaps irrationally so. The Academy let me down by not naming Wall•E last year’s Best Picture, so I can’t help but be pessimistic.

I do think The Blind Side could end up like Monster, earning only one nomination, for Best Actress, yet managing to win the one.

Josh C.
Josh C.
Fri, Jan 15, 2010 11:27am

I do think Kathryn Bigelow will win for Best Director, because it seems generally agreed upon that The Hurt Locker works essentially because of her.

RyanT
RyanT
Fri, Jan 15, 2010 12:34pm

I pray that District 9 will bump off The Blind Side or any film really.

doa766
doa766
Fri, Jan 15, 2010 1:21pm

avatar
the hurt locker
up in the air
inglorious basterds
precious
up
an education
a serious man
district 9
the road

doa766
doa766
Fri, Jan 15, 2010 1:28pm

the problem with predicting the Oscars is trying to name what you think they will choose and not what is the best, because on the past almost never matched

I think Star Trek and Watchmen are among the best movies of this year but they will be ignored, they will throw a bone to the fanboys with District 9 but that’s it

Hank Graham
Hank Graham
Fri, Jan 15, 2010 2:56pm

I think Star Trek will get in. If there’s one thing the folks of the Academy respect, it’s making money, plus J. J. Adams is popular and seen as a homie. I don’t see District 9 making it in, because it’s too depressing for them and it’s not by anyone they know personally.

And, of course, who cares? This is the Oscars folks. This time next year, no one but their agents will remember.

bats :[
Fri, Jan 15, 2010 3:43pm

With twice as many nominations possible, I can see the Academy throwing a bone to musicals, no matter how mediocre (Nine), to SF (Star Trek, but certainly not the too-out-there Watchmen), and to comedies, expecting all of those to be washed out when it comes time to vote for Serious, Ponderous Cinema.

Ken Patterson
Fri, Jan 15, 2010 4:16pm

I think it’s sad that the blatant remake that is “Avatar” will probably be nominated for Best Picture, but that’s never stopped the Academy before. Maybe all the best technical categories would be acceptable.

I think it would be justice for “Me and Orson Welles” to win, but that’s probably my silly sense of humor taking over…

I’d love “Star Trek” and “Watchmen” to be included, but I’m also a realist and don’t actually expect them. “Inglorious Basterds” would be great.

JoshDM
JoshDM
Sun, Jan 17, 2010 10:19pm

Here’s your next QOTD

Is James Cameron SO FULL OF HIMSELF that he just thanked the actors of Avatar in the language of the N’avi? Really? Was that what that was?